Census prompts New Mexico to redistrict, may favor Democrats

Census prompts New Mexico to redistrict, may favor Democrats

Political rally in New Mexico, photo by Matthew Reichbach

New Mexico has enjoyed a stunning 13 percent growth over the past decade, bringing the sparsely populated state to a total of 2,059,159 people.  The news highlights the State’s motto, “It Grows As It Goes.”  Most of this population growth occurred in small pockets of urban neighborhoods, which is why these changes may favor Democrats in the state.

Despite the increase, New Mexico will not be getting more seats in Congress.  The state will keep its three congressional districts, 70 House Assembly seats, and 42 Senate districts (the last two are for State government).  Redistricting, according to a guide put out by the State, is about changing the borders of existing districts.  It’s a political process, not a mathematical one.

Currently, most of the State legislature is Democrat, and so they are likely to lever their advantage by simple right of being in the majority.

In addition, some Republican districts are far too large geographically, and are practically busting at the seams, and need to be split.  Such is the case for Representative Sander Rue, whose district is 70 percent too large.  More than likely, Rue will lose a large chunk of his district, and those parts will merge into districts that are currently too small.

Contrarily, Democratic districts are too small geographically, since these are usually found in cities.  These districts will have to be redrawn in order to properly represent a population.  As is usually the case, there is a large political battle being fought over these boundary lines; and if the State Legislature is unable to redistrict because of political infighting, a Federal court may have to step in as a mediary and draw the new borders.

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